Egyptian Expert: Syria faces collapse as Coastal and Suwayda massacres

 A Reuters investigation revealed the killing of approximately 1,479 people from the Alawite community and the disappearance of dozens across 40 locations that witnessed acts of killing, revenge, and looting, attributed to elements linked to the transitional government. These acts are part of a bloody campaign that began on March 6 and continues to this day.

Weeks after these massacres, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights documented the deaths of over 1,000 people in Suwayda. Commenting on these developments, the Egyptian researcher Mounir Adeeb warned of the catastrophic situation in Syria, holding the transitional government directly responsible for committing massacres against civilians and adopting a policy of imposing control through force.

Adeeb stated that the Syrian crisis has deepened due to foreign interventions led by countries such as the United States, Israel, and Turkey, noting that these interventions were not aimed at supporting Syrians or protecting their interests but rather served specific agendas, disregarding the Syrian people’s aspirations for security, stability, and peace.

He added that the recent massacres in the coastal region and Suwayda have shaken Syrians’ confidence in the country’s future and the current regime, while deepening fears of repeated violence in other areas against different components of the Syrian population on sectarian or ethnic grounds. This is happening in the absence of a political system that represents all Syrians, with one faction dominating power.

Adeeb pointed out that what occurred in some areas can be described as “collective punishment,” where armed groups affiliated with the transitional government committed serious violations against civilians without any legal accountability, using violence as a means to impose control and perpetuating a reality that does not reflect the aspirations of Syrians.

He noted that the authorities’ reliance on military solutions and the formation of their security apparatus from “unrestrained groups” involved in massacres against dissenters makes stability impossible and leads to further chaos and loss of trust in the government’s intentions.

Adeeb stressed that Syria is currently on a path of repression, which cannot address political differences or guarantee rights but rather deepens societal divisions. Meanwhile, legitimate demands from some Syrian components are met only with exclusion. He added that the core of the crisis lies not only in the government’s practices but in the structure of the regime itself, which deals with society through a security-focused and repressive mindset, amid the emergence of uncontrollable figures and groups, making the authorities increasingly subject to public accusations. Adeeb concluded by emphasizing that the Syrian crisis can only be resolved through a comprehensive political process, warning that continuing the military approach and imposing control by force will lead the country toward further collapse and chaos. He pointed out that the events in the coastal region and Suwayda are indicators of the state’s collapse and the deepening divide between the authorities and the people, foreshadowing a greater deterioration in the near future on political, economic, and social levels.

a.K

ANHA