Researcher: There are two tracks of Iran's response, but it is best for them to invest in politics

The United States of America targeted, at dawn on Friday, the Commander of the Iranian Quds Force Qassim Soleimani and other leaders of the Iraqi PMF, which led to an escalation of tension in the region and the Middle East.

After announcing the killing of Soleimani, Iranian leaders threatened a harsh response, and many countries warned that there are signs of great war in the region, as the Middle East is holding its breath awaiting the expected Iranian response, and about this he spoke to Hawar news agency (ANHA), analyst and researcher in International Relations and Iranian affairs, Ph.D. Iyad al-Majali.

There are two tracks of Iran's response

Regarding the Iranian response to Soleimani’s killing, the researcher explained, “As for the Iranian response and the repercussions of this event, I think there is no doubt that the Iranian National Security Council has prepared what is prior to a process of this type, and this opinion has been depended on the premise, how will we respond, where and when? The Americans or the Israelis are a hostile act with strategic significance against Iran, so I think the response plan exists before the assassination, especially since the size of the American targets that fall within the military capacity of Iran and its allies are many. "

Exploiting the Soleimani assassination is better for Iran than the military response

The other, and most likely, track is the diplomatic track by intensifying Iran’s pressure on the government of Iraq to take a clear decision by asking the United States to remove its forces from Iraq, which will have better strategic results for Iran, than hitting a military or economic goal, whether American, Israeli, or anyone Its allies, and for this reason, the volume of questions is great, regarding the ability of the Iranian regime to use this path, or use it for this incident, to serve to mobilize the Iranian interior, the international community, and Europeans, to gain more political gains, ease economic sanctions, and open the door for Iran to respond in a way that is being tested. Its allies, who participated in naval exercises a few days ago, are Russia and China.

The assassination of Soleimani may be a gateway to an international mystery

"In fact, the Americans have previously been silent on the incident of the downing of the American drone, and they have also been silent in the face of the brinkmanship strategy, which Iran is using, to try to pressure the United States, and I believe that the Iranians will respond slowly, and the assassination of Soleimani will be an entry point to solve an international mystery, and dismantle an intractable knot The American-Iranian relations, especially since the increased tension will bring oil prices back up and ignite a war in the Gulf, will make it rise to fictional prices, which will push the international powers to try to appease Iran.

The researcher concluded in Iranian affairs: "The idea of war is out of the question and quick response is not possible. Therefore, the repercussions of this event will not be as the media tries to amplify it to the extent that it will cause a war to ignite in the traditional way. Iran uses different and clear strategies in this aspect and it is the owner of the first position in an attempt to push the region into more tension and conflict, however, it is governed by international controls and relations, and it is now trying to absorb this blow in one way or another and invest it politically. "

(T/S)

ANHA