Researcher rules out withdrawal of Turkish occupation from Syria, warns of De-Escalation Zones

The researcher in political and strategic sciences, Hassan Faraj ruled out the withdrawal of the Turkish occupation from the Syrian territories, pointing out that the mercenary groups, they will not have a deterrent to restarting the war as it was in the beginning, benefiting from their gathering in the regions of "De-escalation" areas.

Researcher rules out withdrawal of Turkish occupation from Syria, warns of De-Escalation Zones
1 June, 2023   05:05
NEWS DESK- Givara Sheikh Nour

The influence of regional countries on the surrounding countries is divided into two types of influence, the first is the positive complementary influence with the environment, which is rare, and the second is the negative influence that seeks to impose interests at the expense of the interests of the surrounding countries, using various hard and soft means.

The Turkish occupation state falls within the second type of influence, especially its direct and disruptive influence in Syria, through its occupation of large parts of this country, as it strives to strike any efforts for a solution in Syria, so where is the file of normalization between the Damascus government and Tirkish occupation heading? in light of the insistence of both parties not to concede? What is the fate of the mercenaries and the northwest occupied by Turkey after Erdogan won the elections?

The Damascus government, through its officials, insists that, as a condition for normalizing relations with the Turkish occupation state, the latter's withdrawal from the Syrian lands, as this file took a large part of the discussion, especially since Ankara insists on not withdrawing under flimsy pretexts.

Hassan Faraj, the researcher in political and strategic sciences, believes in this regard that "the regime in Damascus cannot declare otherwise, it will demand the exit of Turkish forces from Syria, but it knows full well that this exit is governed by the conditions of an integrated political process."

Faraj  points out, "This means that Western-American approval is necessary to lift the siege and suspend sanctions on the Damascus regime. So, the matter is also related to the American will, and developments of the Ukrainian file."

Regarding the fate of Turkey's mercenaries, in the event that Ankara accepts the withdrawal, Faraj considers that the mercenaries are "heterogeneous groups and have multiple ties not only with Turkey. There is the National Army, Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham, and the Free Army groups," pointing out that "if Turkey withdraws Unconditionally, these forces will redeploy all over Syria as long as they gather in Idlib after multiple agreements with the Russian side, and in this case all the de-escalation operations that the Russian side built with the Turkish side, through which these forces were assembled in the Idlib region, there will be no deterrent to returning spread and the return of the war as it was in its beginnings.

Hassan Faraj  rules out Turkey's withdrawal from Idlib, "for fear of an influx of refugees in large numbers to its borders, and this threat will affect European countries, and Turkey, if so happened it would require direct European intervention and the Russians and Turks know that.

At the height of the Turkish electoral propaganda, major Arab countries rejected the Turkish presence in Syria, and more than once demanded Turkey's withdrawal from Syria, began to rebuild relations with the Damascus government, and about that, Professor of Diplomatic and Defense Sciences Hassan Faraj confirms that "the Arab world will not offer to fight Turkey, especially since Turkish-Saudi relations, as well as Turkish-Egyptian relations, and of course Turkish-Qatari relations.

He believes that "the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia will play an important role in the development of events in Syria, in the Arab world as well as at the international level, and the invitation of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to attend the Arab League summit is only an important step in this direction. Saudi Arabia today is more interested and qualified than others to play the role of mediator in these files."

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