Turkish interventions threaten region security and have a direct negative impact on Arabs

The goals and determinants of the recent Turkish moves in the region  governed by several considerations, as it is a strategic shift in Turkish foreign policy of more involvement in the Middle East issues directly, rather than relying on political Islam movements and militias. In parallel with them, realizing the necessity of limiting  the recent backwards of Turkish interests.

Turkish interventions threaten region security and have a direct negative impact on Arabs
20 June, 2020   23:31
Hani Suleiman

Increasing pressure on the Turkish regime both at the economic level and the need to secure new resources pushed it to search for economic interests in the Mediterranean and secure oil inside the Libyan and rob the capabilities of the Libyan people, in addition to political pressures and regional isolation, which made Turkey looking for new moves to ensure pressure on the region and create external battles to achieve political gains.

The Turkish behavior  is motivated by ideological motives and the glories of the Ottoman Empire, which is evident in some official matters, Erdogan's speeches, and Turkish foreign moves recently, and the search for a large regional role for Turkey, in light of the preoccupation of the major countries with its internal crises and fighting the Corona pandemic.

However, this Turkish behavior produces a number of important observations. The Turkish military attack on the Kurdistan region of Iraq confirms that the operation "Tiger-Claw"  of Turkey will not be the last if the international approach keeps silent. in addition, these attacks is violation of Iraqi sovereignty and an assault on an independent and sovereign state that contradicts the rules and principles of international law and international charters, and contributes significantly to increasing instability, although the Iraqi state and the Iraqi Ministry of Interior and Defense have expressed more than once their willingness to cooperate  with Turkey in controlling security at the border in a way to secures the interests of both sides. Calling on Turkey  to stop unilateral military operations, which reveals that the Turkish allegations are just flimsy arguments and excuses to intervene and achieve special goals to eliminate the Kurdish factions. This is evident from the size of the current operations that are the second largest Turkish attack on those areas, especially Şengal region After the April 2017 attack, which falls under the "cultural genocide" in light of the brutality of the attacks and the elimination of an authentic social and cultural component.
The recent Turkish moves in the Mediterranean are an attempt to create new prospecting opportunities for Turkey, but I believe that the demarcation of the sea borders between Italy and Greece has cut the way on Erdogan's plans, in addition to the pipeline agreement between Greece, Cyprus and Israel.

Turkish intervention in the Libyan crisis has contributed greatly to complicating matters and changing the balance of power qualitatively and temporarily on the ground, which constitutes a direct threat to the supposed sovereign and independent Libyan state, a shortage of its resources and opportunities in light of a recent talk about an exclusive economic zone and Turkish drilling for oil and control of Libyan oil and the central bank, which supports the scenario of instability,  this is the same thing that was imposed on Syria, the presence of Turkish militias in the Syrian north, and repressive practices against the Kurds.

Among these determinants, and the Turkish goals, that  has become a threat to the security and stability of the region and  directly and negatively effects on the Arab countries, especially Syria and Libya, and Egypt indirectly. This is a matter of concern  not only many  for Arab countries, but also a number of regional states and international powers. It can be said that the Turkish role cannot go any further, since the incursion into Sirte or new areas in Libya will not make Turkey able to secure the supply lines  and will threaten in a way directly to Egypt, in addition,  the situation on the ground is still unresolved under the control of Haftar forces over large areas

The situation in Syria can  also be described as rigid, making the matters pending but not escalating, in light of the existing balance of power from the Syrian regime, Russia, and Iran on the one hand, and areas of  Turkey and militias control  in Idlib area, and the interests of the United States of America in return which delays the matter for a while.

Likewise, Turkey's attempts in the Mediterranean have been locked up tight through a strategy of action and reaction, whenever Turkey opens a way for an incursion,  Cyprus, Greece, Egypt, Italy and Israel will block it.

The issue of the Turkish strikes on the Kurds  in Syria and in Iraq is the most thorny issue in that it is a complex in which the military interferes with the politician with security and humanity, due to a number of repressive practices that are incompatible with human rights, and the right of minorities and regions to express their identity and culture.

So, the Turkish influence now is represented in the Libyan file, which in my opinion is not settled, and also the attacks against the Kurds, which is an extended file and cannot be resolved in a short time, which makes us confirm that the Turkish threat to the region is a great danger and not easy, and there is an Arab concern due to Turkish practices, but at the same time it is a compound and apostate danger, which could have bad effects on Turkey in the medium term in light of the narrowness of many countries of Turkish practices, especially as it will have its economic and political cost.

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ANHA