Egyptian researcher: Turkey lost its influence gradually

Current data indicates that Turkey, in addition to its suffering in terms of its internal economic, political and social policies, is also witnessing a noticeable change in the foreign policy of the occupying Turkish state, especially towards the Middle Eastern countries and its neighboring countries. It has transformed from an arrogant state to a state that makes concessions to everyone.

Turkish foreign policy is going through a severe dilemma at the current stage

Egyptian researcher in international affairs Hani Suleiman says: "Turkish foreign policy is going through a severe dilemma at the current stage, which is a difficult transitional stage that the country is going through," and he pointed out that: "The decline in the Turkish role in terms of mediation, influence and engagement in many important foreign and regional files, including the war in Gaza and the Russian-Ukrainian escalation, or a set of various regional and international files, has caused a significant decline in the Turkish role and its foreign policy and the degree of its influence and reliability regionally."

 Hani Suleiman believed that: "Turkey is now realizing that at this juncture it will make some concessions, or perhaps back down from its commitment to a set of traditional determinants of Turkish foreign policy, and impose its will and influence on many files."

The international affairs researcher explained that: "This is evident in its relationship with some countries, such as Saudi Arabia and Egypt, or perhaps its overall regional behavior in Libya or the Mediterranean, and this may reflect the weakness of Turkish policy tools, and if this indicates anything, it indicates that Turkey has submitted to international will and a set of visions related to various files, such as the Muslim Brotherhood file in Egypt, or the Libyan file, or the Mediterranean gas file, and the inability to influence the war in Gaza."

Suleiman stressed that: "Turkey is going through a dilemma on the external level, as Turkish foreign policy suffers from its inability to achieve its goals in strengthening relations with many parties and influencing regionally and internationally, and Turkish foreign policy has not been able to formulate strong relations that highlight its presence on the regional level and with neighboring countries, whether in regional relations or in external aspirations based on economic foundations, such as engaging in the Mediterranean gas equation, or economic relations with Libya, or in the Horn of Africa, or in Sudan as well."

The political Islam card did not achieve its goals for Turkey

The Egyptian researcher believes that: "The political Islam card did not achieve its goals for Turkey, and therefore restoring the glory of the Ottoman Empire has become a matter of great doubt."

Suleiman believes, based on what he mentioned, that: "Turkey aims at this time to preserve its gains and prevent any setbacks or concessions in various files. It has also tried to build new regional and international relations, especially with countries such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia, and seeks to appease Greece and Cyprus in an attempt to reach its presence in the Mediterranean gas equation and obtain some common gains.

It is also trying to regain some of its status, aiming to eliminate problems to a large extent, re-engineering and repositioning its presence in the region in a new way, and avoiding the losses it has suffered in the last five years, which were difficult for it on the political, diplomatic and economic levels, according to Suleiman.

Suleiman noted that: "Another contradiction revolves around the fact that Turkey always talks about foreign policy being part of providing economic opportunities, but in the end, the Turkish moves in Syria cost the state a lot of economic bills and military expenses. Perhaps involvement in some files has negatively affected the Turkish interior, the standard of living and economic expenses."

Regarding domestic policies, Suleiman pointed out that: "There is clarity regarding the decline of the Justice and Development Party's experience, and this was evident in the results of the recent elections, in addition to Erdogan's inability to formulate internal understandings at various political levels, on the one hand." On the other hand, and more importantly, there are the recent Turkish economic declines, high inflation rates, and increasing unemployment rates, and thus Turkey is no longer an attractive country in terms of economic conditions, according to Suleiman.

Suleiman said that there is another important variable, which is: "Turkey used to present itself as a supporter of immigrants and a commitment to human rights values, but recently it has become a repulsive country in its dealings with other communities, especially the Syrian community, which it has always shown off about protecting. Over time, it became clear that Turkey was dealing with the refugee file as a means of pressuring the European Union, and negotiating with Germany to obtain gains in other files. However, the true situation of the Turkish side was soon revealed."

Egyptian researcher Hani Suleiman stressed that: "There are many contradictions in Turkey's domestic policies, as the Justice and Development Party's discourse initially spoke of coexistence, participation, and a common destiny between political forces. However, this discourse has changed significantly to rely on acquisition, subjectivity, and the erosion of the public sphere, and the marginalization of other political forces. This has had many political repercussions."

According to Suleiman, through all of the above, this indicates that a strong Turkey will turn into a country that is actually incapable of regional influence, and will turn into an ordinary country without the degree of influence and the ability to obtain gains and achieve various goals, which will cause it to lose many tools.

T/ Satt.

ANHA