​​​​​​​Afghanistan… Occupations, hidden support and fall of empires

Afghanistan promises to start ... Where lies the salvation?

After 20 years of war against the Taliban, US forces withdrew following an agreement between the US and the Taliban that was removed from power in 2001. Let things go back to what they were before the war. Without regard to what the Afghan people paid during this war.

Expected Return

About this, the researcher of Islamic groups and the fight against terrorism Mustafa Amin said: "The return of the Taliban was expected, but the unexpected is a rapid return. According to all specialists and experts; Talk has always focused on the possibility of the Taliban returning for at least two years to a partnership in the rule of Afghanistan, but no one expected things to come to this sudden fall and the movement's control of all parts of Afghanistan except the the province of Panjshir."

Taliban have already arranged

On the reasons for the withdrawal of American troops, Amin said: "The enormous economic cost spent by the United States in this war led it to take this step without arranging papers in the Afghan interior in the form required or as a servant for its interests. But it is clear that the Taliban have been arranging this since the start of negotiations with the United States in 2015. "

Research by Brown University estimates United States spending on conflict up to 2020 - including military funds and reconstruction in both Afghanistan and Pakistan - at $978 billion.

Amin added: "The Taliban arranged their situation through a network of loyal alliances of Afghan tribes. A network with ethnic ethnicities in Afghanistan and talk about their return would be safe. A network through reassurances from officials within the Afghan government."

Amin noted that these "networks enabled them to return quickly, as evidenced by their lack of involvement in large-scale military combat. All states have been handing over their administration to the Taliban without fighting, except for a few states, which is a clear American mistake. A strategic miscalculation by US agencies of the situation following their withdrawal, and an error in their appreciation of the Taliban's power and ability to forge these state alliances and quickly take control of Afghanistan. This was paid for by the US administration, most notably the terrorist act targeting its forces at the airport."

On the internal Afghan situation, Amin said: "The Afghan people are inherently religious people and the Taliban have benefited from this. The United States of America, for 20 years, has targeted the Afghan elite and has not truly reached the bases of the Afghan people, who have been more associated with religious, ethnic and tribal movements. This has made the influence of American imperialism and international politics less significant and has led to this collapse."

Taliban heading to the Eastern Bloc

On the Chinese and Russian position, the so-called Eastern Bloc, Amin felt that "Afghanistan is moving towards it very much. The Russian position is clear. There are mutual visits by the Chinese side. There is some kind of unwritten confidence in a contract with the regional parties. The same applies to Pakistan. That is why the Taliban are moving more towards the Eastern Bloc, which will clearly affect American influence. "

He added: "On the other hand, after the terrorist operation at Kabul airport, the Americans resolved the matter and gave themselves a chance and space for limited security and military intervention in Afghanistan so as not to harm their interests, and thus; This will create another crisis for the Taliban in terms of security as unable to maintain security. This position has been essentially put in place by ISIS -K in the state of Khorasan and its affiliated groups, and this has put them in the middle of this impasse and has shown them that they are unable to maintain security.

Turkey is a big beneficiary

On the Turkish position, Amin said: "A great beneficiary and will have good relations with Afghanistan has now begun to run the airport. Turkey benefits from religious functional groups throughout the world as it shares the slogan that it is an Islamic organization that governs a large state like Turkey. There may be Turkish recognition of the Taliban government, and there is talk of broad cooperation. Things are for Turkey and Qatar. "

As for Pakistan's position, "Amin is an important neighbour of Afghanistan, which the Taliban see as an extension of the movement, and Pakistan has significant accounts in Afghanistan."

Bad scenario and ambiguous future

About the course of the developments, Amin expected the worst scenario, which is “the occurrence of a conflict within the Afghan geography, especially with the Northern Alliance led by Ahmad Shah Massoud, and this is expected to erupt at any time, also there is ISIS that will direct large operations and try to control a new geography, in addition to the problems related to the movement’s ideology regarding women, art, culture and education.” These are all things that irritate the West.

He added: "Not to mention, the Movement has always maintained that it will deal with these social, cultural and religious realities on the basis of the Movement's vision of Islam. This is unacceptable to the West, since the Movement has an extreme precedent in governance from 1996 to 2001. These are matters of concern for the Afghan future and always place it in a region of tension and instability."

He explained that "the only effect that would be if the Taliban once again embraced and revived terrorist groups, in particular Al-Qaeda, in one way or another, although the movement had control over it and its leadership demonstrated that the organization had not even issued any statement, comment or support. If Afghanistan were to become a focus for Al Qaeda, I think it would be very worrying for the world. We may see the experience of returning from Afghanistan again. "

He concluded by saying: "The future is not pink and tends largely to be dark."

Victims of war

The consequences of these conflicts and wars show that world Powers are concerned only with their own interests, as well as with the infertility of external solutions and the attempt to entrench hard-line national or religious rule.

Research conducted by Brown University estimates that the Afghan security forces have lost around 69, and estimates that the number of civilians killed is around 51 and armed.

More than 3,500 Coalition troops have been killed since 2001 - almost two thirds of them American, and more than 20,000 have been injured.

According to the United Nations, Afghanistan has the third largest number of displaced persons in the world.

Some 5 million people have fled since 2012 and have not been able to return to their homes, some displaced inside Afghanistan and others taken refuge in neighbouring countries.

Roots of the problem

During 20 years of war and the United States' attempt to overthrow the Taliban government, the state was removed and the Taliban movement was not destroyed.

American forces did not establish a new Afghan political order based on the consent of all, nor did they produce governments that were unable to hold out for a few hours.

Leader Abdullah Ocalan says: "The rampant chaos in the countries and regions of the central city shows the reality of the bankruptcy of the nation-state and the sharing of power in all its aspects and in all its brightness."

Leader Ocalan adds: "This chaos has brought down all the masks of the nation-states in Palestine - Israel, Iraq and Afghanistan, and the masks of authoritarianism that are rooted in the highest types of hierarchies, and I asserted that they constitute the primary source of issues, and made public in all respects that violence, terrorism, wars and massacres know no borders. Feeding on this source, he has demonstrated sufficiently that the nation-state and the sharing of power have only the efficiency of beating and butchering their owner like a boomerang machine.

The leader Ocalan believes that despite the use of all powers by the dominant regime, the activities of restoring the nation-state in Iraq and Afghanistan were not successful, just as the restoration of the Monarchian regimes in Europe did not bear fruit in the period between 1815-1830.

Leader Ocalan points out that Afghanistan and Pakistan are witnessing from the ground up the crisis of the nation-state with all its horror. The wars of the nation-state that erupted during the last century brought calamities over the heads and culture of those peoples, perhaps even more severe than the atomic bomb.

What's the solution?

In his plea, titled "The Kurdish Issue and the Solution of the Democratic Nation," Ocalan talks about the resounding fall of the nation-state affiliated with great powers as soon as he raises his hand from it. He says: "Those countries that are based on the crutch of military and police power were overthrown overnight, as soon as the dominant powers lifted their hands."

This is what happened in Afghanistan, whose government did not withstand a month in the face of the Taliban movement, which took control of the country even before the last US soldier was evacuated.

On how to solve the problems that afflict the Middle East in general, and not Afghanistan alone, Leader Abdullah Ocalan says: “The democratic nation theory is the main solution element in democratic modernity. With the exception of the democratic nation theory, there is no social theory capable of reunifying the ranks of the global human community. and revive it in an atmosphere full of freedom.”

T/S

ANHA