International Coalition and Mini-Group to meet twice... Big files and unclear strategy  

The United States of America will chair a meeting on Syria on June 28, in the Italian capital, Rome, with the participation of major countries concerned with the Syrian file, on the sidelines of the meeting of the international coalition against ISIS.

The Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced a few days ago that it would host the meeting of the “IC against ISIS,” which includes the foreign ministers of the “Mini-group,” which includes the United States, Britain, Germany, France, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan, with the meeting chaired by US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken.

According to Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper, Washington will hold a meeting on Syria on the sidelines of the international coalition meeting, noting that it has expanded the circle of invitees to the meeting, to include the foreign ministers of the "" and the "mini-group", as well as Turkey and Qatar, which are known for their negative role in Syria and the region in general. International reports confirmed the involvement of these two countries in supporting terrorist organizations." and the "mini-group", as well as Turkey and Qatar, which are known for their negative role in Syria and the region in general. International reports confirmed the involvement of these two countries in supporting terrorist organizations." and the "Mini-group", as well as Turkey and Qatar, which are known for their negative role in Syria and the region in general. International reports confirmed the involvement of these two countries in supporting terrorist organizations.

The newspaper pointed out that the UN envoy to Syria, Geir Pedersen, will also attend the meeting to present two proposals. The first is to form an international-regional group of permanent members of the Security Council to discuss the Syrian file, and the second is to bring Russia and the United States closer together on Syria.

According to the newspaper, the US presidency of the meeting is “the first political look for President Joe Biden’s team to control America’s allies, with the approach of the American test of Russia when the Security Council vote on the cross-border humanitarian aid resolution” in early July.

What are the meetings looking for?

The academic and the Syrian opposition based in the United States, Marah Al-Buqai, indicated that "the meeting that will take place in Italy is a meeting to discuss the issue of combating ISIS, and it includes the coalition countries that participate in the fight against ISIS led by the United States of America. On the side of this matter, a meeting will be held for Syria."

And she believed that the second meeting "will discuss issues of the Putin and Biden summit because there are urgent matters and priorities in this summit, and the most important thing that will be discussed is the status of the crossings, which is very urgent."

She explained that "the four crossings, including al-Yarubiyah, located in the east of the Euphrates, and the issue of the security situation in general. The issue of the transfer of ISIS families from al-Hol camp to their places of origin will be addressed, and this will be discussed on a large scale because there are many of them with European citizenship."

What is expected of these meetings?

Concerning what is required of this group, Marah Al-Buqai said: “Finding a security formula for the region after ISIS fell on the ground, but there are repercussions related to cyberspace. A major campaign must be launched to stop all means of communication through social media or through their media and their continuous attempt to recruit new members from all over the world".

She added: "This must be stopped and communication between the remaining remnants of ISIS and all terrorist organizations must be cut off in order not to recruit new members to them and to stop the propaganda, which unfortunately attracts and draws the attention of some young people in the world."

Regarding the expansion of the circle of participants in the meeting of the small group, Marah Al-Buqai said, "As for inviting certain countries to the meeting, it is necessary that all the countries concerned with the Syrian file and these groups be present, especially Turkey, because it has very long borders with Syria by controlling these borders, the movement of these elements can be controlled until they are notified in advance. for the alliance."

The international movement does not address the essence of the Syrian crisis

During her speech, the Academic and the Syrian opposition evaluated the recent international movement with regard to the Syrian file and said that it is "very slow, inadequate and does not capture the core of the problem. It revolves around the Syrian crisis, but does not address the essence of the Syrian crisis, whose complex can only be resolved through a political transition under the umbrella of UN Resolution No. 2254".

She added: "All concerned countries must push towards implementing this decision as soon as possible in order to return to a normal life in Syria, especially since those inside Syria suffer very great economic suffering due to the siege, and the United States of America will not lift the siege on Syria as long as the regime is intransigent and does no wants to enter into a full political transition."

It is scheduled those 83 countries will participate in the meeting of the international coalition, in conjunction with a European tour conducted by the US Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, to discuss ways to defeat ISIS in Syria and Iraq.

Despite the work of the international coalition against ISIS for years, the latter is still looking to activate its activities, in addition to the continuation of the issue of foreign ISIS detainees held by the Syrian Democratic Forces and the al-Hol camp, which is one of the most dangerous camps in the world.

On the 22nd of this month, ISIS mercenaries issued a message to its members all over the world. The audio message transmitted by the mercenaries' spokesman, "Abu Hamza Al-Qurashi", was published through the mercenaries' platforms on the Telegram messaging application.

The spokesman praised what he called the "victories and exploits" of the mercenary branch in West Africa and congratulated it for "crushing the strife of the extremist Kharijites."

The spokesman sent a message to the foreign mercenaries detained by the Syrian Democratic Forces and the Iraqi forces, calling on the mercenaries to work to get them out, vowing to implement this.

In an unusual move, al-Qurashi promised a financial reward to mercenaries who assassinate judges and other members of the judiciary who he said were complicit in imprisoning ISIS members.

'ISIS is repositioning'

On this, the expert in Islamic groups, Mustafa Amin, said: “If we are in the position of evaluating ISIS at the present time, we will find that the organization witnessed something like a state of latency, starting from 2018 and 2019, and it was trying to exist in one way or another through some sporadic operations, but it is clear that the year 2020 It had a very important effect in reorganizing to position and expand in new geographies.”

He added: "This is what we have seen in Central and West Africa. It is almost dominant in these areas and also in areas in Central Asia, led by Pakistan and Afghanistan, or the so-called Khurasan region. It is now directing effective strikes in these areas and a strong competitor to all existing local forces, whether the Taliban, Al-Qaeda or Even the governments in these countries and these armies."

Amin continued: "He also maintained his presence in one way or another in Syria and Iraq by continuing to form cells and small groups and directing continuous strikes to the Syrian Democratic Forces and the Syrian government and in many Iraqi regions, in general, he resorted to latency for a while through a strategy based on not disclosing its elements. and expanding in one way or another in spreading over new geographies.”

'The international community's inaction helped ISIS'

On the circumstances that helped the return of its activity, Amin said: "The international community's reluctance to confront it and the lack of a clear strategy for after the overthrow of ISIS's geography helped him, and this prompted the organization to return again in this way, as we are currently witnessing a clear growth of it in many regions of the world, This was evident in the tone of confidence spoken by Abu Hamza al-Qurashi, the organization’s spokesman, in his latest recording and his call to escalate the terrorist act by targeting judges, trying to release ISIS prisoners in Syrian regions, targeting military leaders in major cities, and expanding in Central and West Africa.

'ISIS foreign mercenaries detained by SDF are a time bomb'

On the danger of ISIS foreign mercenaries to the Syrian Democratic Forces, Amin said: "A time bomb, and the call was clear from Abu Hamza Al-Qurashi for the cells there and affiliated with the organization to expel them, and if these elements are removed, we will find successive waves of bloody terrorist action inside the Syrian and Iraqi cities and villages as well as exporting it to Europe. Most of these people have had their citizenship revoked and have become homeless, without a country without a homeland, and therefore all their concern is to reorganize again and reposition within the organization."

He added, "If the organization succeeds in removing these elements, it will be a major disaster for Syria and Iraq in particular, and for the world in general. Most of these leaders had central administrative positions within the organization before its geographical fall. They have extensive experience in fighting and terrorist work, whether in vehicle bombs or planning to seize villages or cities or developing strategies related to financing, and they have a huge risk if they are released or released from prisons after being attacked by the organization. This is a big crisis and a huge bomb."

'Unclear international strategy'

On the role of the international community, Amin affirmed that "the international community has been reluctant, and helped greatly in the return of the organization again through its inability to develop a clear strategy to confront ISIS, not to establish specific legal mechanisms to prosecute ISIS elements and to work partly through countries in dealing with the mercenary crisis." "Foreigners and his refusal to return these fighters again to be tried on their lands because there are no clear laws to try them. The international community bears a great burden, and its continuation in this form will lead to further expansion and expansion of ISIS."

At the conclusion of his speech, Mustafa Amin, an expert on Islamic groups, said, "The establishment of an international court in northern Syria is a great proposal, but where will these people be imprisoned, numbering in the thousands, and therefore there is no inevitable return to their country and being tried in it? This is the only solution by finding a legal mechanism for this." matter."

(A)

ANHA