​​​​​​​Disputes postponed between Astana guarantors to a dead end…What are the scenarios?

After launching attack by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Russia, and his announcement that there is no longer such a thing as "Sochi and Astana" agreements, did not come out of a vacuum, but rather a serious dispute between the allies of necessity (Russia - Turkey - Iran).

The guarantor states are disagreements, competition and lack of confidence

It seems that the trio 's attempt to migrate their differences has reached a dead end, and that there should be clarity in the options of these parties.

Russia sought to contain Turkey a lot and keep it away from NATO and America, and benefited from the problems between them, by handing over Ankara to the areas that were under the control of its mercenaries to the regime in exchange for allowing it to occupy some Syrian regions, but it saw that the Turkish demands did not end at the borders of that.

Russia decided to launch attacks on a region called "De-escalation", accusing Turkey of stalling the implementation of the agreements there, and enabled the regime to take control of the strategic city of Maarat al-Numan, and began preparing for an attack on the town of Saraqib all the way to the countryside of Aleppo, where international roads pass from there.

This raised Turkey's concern about the fate of its mercenaries in the region, and sent large military convoys to the region.

Iran, in its turn, and despite talking about tacit understandings between it and Turkey, it recently looked with concern to the Turkish role in Syria as it sees it as its rival, and may even be close to the American steps to remove it from Syria.

And mercenary gangs affiliated with Turkey launched the countryside of Aleppo, where pro-Iranian forces are present, the more the dispute between them increased.

Today, Iran rushed to respond to the Turkish occupation’s attacks on the regime forces ’sites in Idlib, and confirmed that the regime has the right to launch a military operation there.

Where are the developments going?

All these developments set several scenarios of events, the first of which is to remedy their differences, and this escalation is a platform for new and public agreements.

Either the developments escalate more and more, and therefore Turkey should return to the American embrace, and seek to take advantage of the fifth item in NATO on joint defense, but that will cost her a lot, and push it to concede.

T/S

ANHA