Researcher: world suffers due to crisis, enhancing coexistence is best solution
A researcher in international and regional affairs stated that the world is suffering from a real state of labor as a result of the crises that are sweeping it, and he believed that it will either turn into a “fierce war machine that threatens everyone, or submit to American and Israeli desires.” He praised the model of coexistence between the people of North and East Syria and considered it the solution to establishing comprehensive peace for the region.
In light of the international and regional conflict over influence in the Middle East and the world, and the war between Hamas and Israel joining the series of ongoing wars, the researcher in international and regional affairs, Hani al-Jamal, believes that the causes of the conflict are “international geopolitical reasons; because the world is in a very important state of movement, and there is an international desire for there to be a multipolar world and the exclusion of the unipolar (the United States), which also has a project in the region represented in bringing about geopolitical change in the region, so that there is a new Middle East in which it works to fragment existing entities.”
"The world is on the verge of a major political movement"
In the context of the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas, al-Jamal believes that: "The Palestinian issue came in light of the timing of the expansion of the Jewish state (Greater Israel), which will end the two-state solution to resolve the current crisis in the Arab-Israeli conflict, which is somewhat consistent with America's vision of limiting Chinese expansion and penetration, through the "Belt and Road" initiative, through which it has been implemented in the Arab region and the African continent, and also against the Russian trend, which has begun to establish relations with Arab countries and Africa," noting that "the new strategic dialogues adopted by Russia and China with the Arab and African bloc "will work to bring about a kind of change in policies against the American presence in the region."
Al-Jamal continued, saying: "Israeli desires for expansion and expansion of the Jewish state have converged, along with Washington's preservation of its comparative advantage in the region, and thus the world has become on the verge of a major political movement, which will either end with the elimination of some issues, or entering into understandings and compromises, as America is trying to do through normalization between Arab countries and Israel."
"The region faces two options"
Al-Jamal suggested that American policies will either miss the opportunity for new entities to encroach, or there will be a fierce war. This is what America is currently doing by supporting Israel with advanced qualitative weapons. Therefore, bringing Iran and its arms into this conflict will lead to the region igniting, which will negatively affect the countries of the region. Consequently, the region is heading either towards a fierce war machine that may threaten everyone, or towards submitting to American and Israeli desires and accepting new understandings for the Arab-Israeli conflict.
The researcher in international and regional affairs believed that "the region is still facing security fluidity, and we have not yet been able to find strong features to rely on in order to anticipate this future. This fluidity is moving in relation to the regional bases (Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Iran) and the extent of agreement and disagreement between them in this new formation, and the new state of labor in the region and between the major countries (America, Russia, China) with the decline of the role of the European Union after it was weakened by America."
"The new Middle East has not yet been defined"
Al-Jamal believes that: "The features of this new formation of the Middle East have not yet been defined; because these countries have not entered into direct strategic, military and war alliances, regardless of the close relations between parties and other parties, but there is still no unified strategic vision among regional countries to maintain their concentrations and centers in the region, and therefore we will not see a real solution to the Syrian, Lebanese and Yemeni crises, and then an attempt to create unrest in the region, whether by pressuring Egypt in the Renaissance Dam or pressuring Saudi Arabia through the Houthis, or pressuring Lebanon through the presence of a political presidential vacuum, and this applies to Iraq as well."
He noted that "the region is in a state of real vision, and we have not seen the basic pillars of this vision, who will win, the Western camp led by the United States or the Eastern camp led by Russia and China," ruling out that "the matter will not be easy in a short period of time, but rather it will be within a long period of time to determine the features of the new Middle East after the understandings or conflicts that may be caused by the Russian-Ukrainian war, the crises in the Middle East and the militarization of the Red Sea."
"Current wars are for flexing muscles"
Al-Jamal explained the lack of a foreseeable scope for the region's wars, saying that there were no clear goals for these wars, noting that "these wars happened to flex muscles again, which portends the imminence of a new world war."
The researcher in international and regional affairs believes that "the current circumstances, whether international through economic contraction, declining standard of living, and attempts to have geographical expansion by some countries, as is happening in the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, or in the Israeli expansion in the region, all of these things fuel the same atmosphere that prevailed before World War II, and thus portend a new world war."
He warned of "the occurrence of an ongoing and eternal war; because proxy war and war behind the scenes have a longer period of time; because the political camps were able to create a kind of new military tactics, and possess military tools that could prolong the war due to the deadly technology they possess."
"The war will not stop except under certain conditions"
He stressed that "the war will not stop unless there is a real desire to create a new international system, which may be a multipolar world, or America may be able to monopolize power once again, and be the world's policeman once again, and this depends on the level of the next presidency in the United States; whether it is Trump or Kamala Harris, and then the geopolitical alliances between China, Russia, India, Iran, South Africa, Egypt, Turkey and the countries active in this matter."
He explained, "If the Eastern Bloc is able to bring about a change at the level of the global system, then the conflict will continue; because it will turn into an existential conflict for the United States and Israel. However, if America is able to pressure from the Ukrainian side and obstruct Russian expansion, and then use the Taiwan crisis to pressure China and shrink the latter's role in the new expansion in the African continent."
"The experience of North and East Syria can be exported to the region"
He pointed out that the peoples of the region always tend to have a comprehensive and just peace in the region; because the idea of peaceful coexistence is a good idea and it exists among the peoples, and conflicts may still exist between some countries in the region, and exist between the rulers, but they do not descend to the level of the peoples, the peoples of the region want a peaceful and happy life, and through this and through the pressure of the peoples, peace can be established in the region.
Even the Arab peoples in this crisis differentiate between (Zionism and the settlers who carry weapons) and the Jews who want peace and live with the Palestinians, and this is what we witnessed from the rise of voices in the Israeli street demanding that Netanyahu establish a humanitarian truce and conclude a deal in order for there to be peace between the Arabs and the Jews.
Al-Jamal spoke about the experience of the DAA, describing the experience of North and East Syria in establishing a good model for peaceful coexistence between the peoples and ethnic groups in this region, including Kurds, Arabs, Armenians, and others, as "a good model that can be exported to the Arab region if circumstances permit the establishment of a comprehensive and just peace in the region."
He added, "These things may happen when the peoples have the upper hand, but unfortunately these things are always hindered by international desires seeking division, and trying not to fulfill the desires of the peoples; because if the peoples were able to impose a revolution on their political system, they unfortunately cannot unite with other neighboring peoples to force their political systems to do this, and this is what we witness in the case of Morocco, Algeria, Palestine, and Israel, and therefore the expansion of the peoples is a societal and human expansion, but unfortunately it does not rise to the level of making decisions; because the power of the peoples does not have the mechanisms for implementation and pressure on governments, as long as there are major countries and regional countries in the Arab region trying to control the movements of the scene, thus they will not give the peoples the sufficient space that they deserve."
T/ Satt.
ANHA
Researcher: world suffers due to crisis, enhancing coexistence is best solution
In light of the international and regional conflict over influence in the Middle East and the world, and the war between Hamas and Israel joining the series of ongoing wars, the researcher in international and regional affairs, Hani al-Jamal, believes that the causes of the conflict are “international geopolitical reasons; because the world is in a very important state of movement, and there is an international desire for there to be a multipolar world and the exclusion of the unipolar (the United States), which also has a project in the region represented in bringing about geopolitical change in the region, so that there is a new Middle East in which it works to fragment existing entities.”
"The world is on the verge of a major political movement"
In the context of the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas, al-Jamal believes that: "The Palestinian issue came in light of the timing of the expansion of the Jewish state (Greater Israel), which will end the two-state solution to resolve the current crisis in the Arab-Israeli conflict, which is somewhat consistent with America's vision of limiting Chinese expansion and penetration, through the "Belt and Road" initiative, through which it has been implemented in the Arab region and the African continent, and also against the Russian trend, which has begun to establish relations with Arab countries and Africa," noting that "the new strategic dialogues adopted by Russia and China with the Arab and African bloc "will work to bring about a kind of change in policies against the American presence in the region."
Al-Jamal continued, saying: "Israeli desires for expansion and expansion of the Jewish state have converged, along with Washington's preservation of its comparative advantage in the region, and thus the world has become on the verge of a major political movement, which will either end with the elimination of some issues, or entering into understandings and compromises, as America is trying to do through normalization between Arab countries and Israel."
"The region faces two options"
Al-Jamal suggested that American policies will either miss the opportunity for new entities to encroach, or there will be a fierce war. This is what America is currently doing by supporting Israel with advanced qualitative weapons. Therefore, bringing Iran and its arms into this conflict will lead to the region igniting, which will negatively affect the countries of the region. Consequently, the region is heading either towards a fierce war machine that may threaten everyone, or towards submitting to American and Israeli desires and accepting new understandings for the Arab-Israeli conflict.
The researcher in international and regional affairs believed that "the region is still facing security fluidity, and we have not yet been able to find strong features to rely on in order to anticipate this future. This fluidity is moving in relation to the regional bases (Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Iran) and the extent of agreement and disagreement between them in this new formation, and the new state of labor in the region and between the major countries (America, Russia, China) with the decline of the role of the European Union after it was weakened by America."
"The new Middle East has not yet been defined"
Al-Jamal believes that: "The features of this new formation of the Middle East have not yet been defined; because these countries have not entered into direct strategic, military and war alliances, regardless of the close relations between parties and other parties, but there is still no unified strategic vision among regional countries to maintain their concentrations and centers in the region, and therefore we will not see a real solution to the Syrian, Lebanese and Yemeni crises, and then an attempt to create unrest in the region, whether by pressuring Egypt in the Renaissance Dam or pressuring Saudi Arabia through the Houthis, or pressuring Lebanon through the presence of a political presidential vacuum, and this applies to Iraq as well."
He noted that "the region is in a state of real vision, and we have not seen the basic pillars of this vision, who will win, the Western camp led by the United States or the Eastern camp led by Russia and China," ruling out that "the matter will not be easy in a short period of time, but rather it will be within a long period of time to determine the features of the new Middle East after the understandings or conflicts that may be caused by the Russian-Ukrainian war, the crises in the Middle East and the militarization of the Red Sea."
"Current wars are for flexing muscles"
Al-Jamal explained the lack of a foreseeable scope for the region's wars, saying that there were no clear goals for these wars, noting that "these wars happened to flex muscles again, which portends the imminence of a new world war."
The researcher in international and regional affairs believes that "the current circumstances, whether international through economic contraction, declining standard of living, and attempts to have geographical expansion by some countries, as is happening in the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, or in the Israeli expansion in the region, all of these things fuel the same atmosphere that prevailed before World War II, and thus portend a new world war."
He warned of "the occurrence of an ongoing and eternal war; because proxy war and war behind the scenes have a longer period of time; because the political camps were able to create a kind of new military tactics, and possess military tools that could prolong the war due to the deadly technology they possess."
"The war will not stop except under certain conditions"
He stressed that "the war will not stop unless there is a real desire to create a new international system, which may be a multipolar world, or America may be able to monopolize power once again, and be the world's policeman once again, and this depends on the level of the next presidency in the United States; whether it is Trump or Kamala Harris, and then the geopolitical alliances between China, Russia, India, Iran, South Africa, Egypt, Turkey and the countries active in this matter."
He explained, "If the Eastern Bloc is able to bring about a change at the level of the global system, then the conflict will continue; because it will turn into an existential conflict for the United States and Israel. However, if America is able to pressure from the Ukrainian side and obstruct Russian expansion, and then use the Taiwan crisis to pressure China and shrink the latter's role in the new expansion in the African continent."
"The experience of North and East Syria can be exported to the region"
He pointed out that the peoples of the region always tend to have a comprehensive and just peace in the region; because the idea of peaceful coexistence is a good idea and it exists among the peoples, and conflicts may still exist between some countries in the region, and exist between the rulers, but they do not descend to the level of the peoples, the peoples of the region want a peaceful and happy life, and through this and through the pressure of the peoples, peace can be established in the region.
Even the Arab peoples in this crisis differentiate between (Zionism and the settlers who carry weapons) and the Jews who want peace and live with the Palestinians, and this is what we witnessed from the rise of voices in the Israeli street demanding that Netanyahu establish a humanitarian truce and conclude a deal in order for there to be peace between the Arabs and the Jews.
Al-Jamal spoke about the experience of the DAA, describing the experience of North and East Syria in establishing a good model for peaceful coexistence between the peoples and ethnic groups in this region, including Kurds, Arabs, Armenians, and others, as "a good model that can be exported to the Arab region if circumstances permit the establishment of a comprehensive and just peace in the region."
He added, "These things may happen when the peoples have the upper hand, but unfortunately these things are always hindered by international desires seeking division, and trying not to fulfill the desires of the peoples; because if the peoples were able to impose a revolution on their political system, they unfortunately cannot unite with other neighboring peoples to force their political systems to do this, and this is what we witness in the case of Morocco, Algeria, Palestine, and Israel, and therefore the expansion of the peoples is a societal and human expansion, but unfortunately it does not rise to the level of making decisions; because the power of the peoples does not have the mechanisms for implementation and pressure on governments, as long as there are major countries and regional countries in the Arab region trying to control the movements of the scene, thus they will not give the peoples the sufficient space that they deserve."
T/ Satt.
ANHA
