​​​​​​​What happens after resignation of Al-Sarraj

There are still different analyzes about the goals and results of the resignation of the head of the Libyan Government of National Accord, Fayez al-Sarraj, from his post, as everyone wonders about the fate of his agreements with Turkey, and where is Libya heading in the next stage?

Turkey's Erdogan announced that Ankara is disturbed by Fayez al-Sarraj's decision to step down from the presidency of the Libyan government of the National Accord.

Earlier, Al-Sarraj announced his desire to resign and hand over his responsibilities to the executive authority, which will emanate from the dialogue committee, by the end of October.

Al-Sarraj’s announcement came after weeks of huge demonstrations in Tripoli and a number of cities in the western Libyan region, in protest against the performance of the accord government, as the protests were calling for the departure of Al-Sarraj, after the boiling point among the Libyan population, especially the youth, increased due to the deterioration of living conditions and the spread of corruption.

Public disputes also surfaced between Al-Sarraj and the Turkish man in his government, Interior Minister Fathi Bashagha, over dealing with the demonstrations.

After Al-Sarraj decided to stop Bashagha from exercising his duties, the head of the Tripoli government gave in to the threats of militias loyal to Bashagha and returned him to head the Ministry of the Interior again.

About this, the Egyptian journalist specializing in Libyan affairs, Muhammad Hassan Amer said, “Fayez al-Sarraj announced that he has a desire to relinquish power, but he did not explicitly announce his resignation, but the indications related to the Libyan-Libyan talks and dialogue are promising that by October there will be in Libya a new presidential council will be made up of the speaker and two deputies. We will also be before independent government that will be composed of the prime minister and his two deputies, in addition to a number of ministers.

In a special statement to Hawar News Agency, Amer explained that the government will be a crisis management government for a transitional period that is agreed upon by all parties, which ends the role of Fayez al-Sarraj, given the international vision that pushes for a political solution to the Libyan crisis and understandings between the various parties.

The Egyptian journalist specializing in Libyan affairs pointed out that the resignation of Abdullah al-Thani’s government paves the way for a unified government for all of Libya to announce its formation in accordance with the settlement that will be reached, noting that the militias are controlling Tripoli and Fayez al-Sarraj was nothing but a political front. He has something to do with the armed militias, and changing it does not mean anything in resolving the Libyan crisis.

Amer indicated that according to his own sources, the person nominated for the presidency of the Libyan Presidency Council may be Counselor Agila Saleh, who is the most compatible figure at the international level with regard to Egypt, Russia, America and Turkey, provided that another person will succeed him to head the Libyan House of Representatives, but he is expected to come from Tripoli, as for the next prime minister, he will be affiliated with Tripoli.

Amer explained that the Egyptian position seeks to confirm two basic things, a political formula from which the political Islam trend is not excluded at all, but rather is present, but it will not have an influence in the Libyan political decision equation. As for the second point, it opens the way for Egypt's participation in the reconstruction of Libya, which is scheduled to cost $ 4 billion, is a large number and every country seeks to have a share in the reconstruction file.

He expected that the US administration wants to achieve an achievement in terms of the Libyan crisis before November 3, that is, before the US presidential elections, considering that Trump is indicating the success of his policy in the Middle East region.

The Egyptian researcher on Libyan affairs and the head of the Egypt Libya Center for Political Studies, Muhammad Fathi al-Sharif, disagreed with him, who said that al-Sarraj’s resignation came at a time when his shares with the Turkish ally fell, especially after Recep Tayyip Erdogan forced al-Sarraj to return the Interior Minister of the Accord Fathi Bashagha to work after he was arrested due to comments on the demonstrations in the Libyan capital, Tripoli.

Al-Sharif added, in an interview with Hawar News Agency, that Fayez al-Sarraj’s resignation confirms that Turkey is the one who forced the man to resign, especially after Turkish intelligence submitted a report from the intelligence chief Hakan Fidan to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, in which it confirmed on the decline of al-Sarraj inside Libya and the erosion of his legitimacy abroad. He became a burden to achieve Turkish spoils in Libya. Therefore, Turkey has prepared the strongest ally that still has opportunities to reach power through the new presidential council, which the United Nations and the countries active in the Libyan file seek to reach to him, who is a president and two deputies, which makes the Turkish presence in the administration of Libya present through Bashagha who corresponds with them in ideology and political orientation.

The Egyptian researcher on Libyan affairs explained that al-Sarraj, despite his weakness that was evident in front of Fathi Bashagha, will not give up power as he announced before taking international guarantees and pledges not to prosecute, especially after the extent of corruption that Fathi Bashagha threatened to expose during the dispute with Al-Sarraj, so I expect that Turkey will preserve the agreements concluded with Al-Sarraj in the past, and will work hard to continue them in the absence of Al-Sarraj and the solutions of Bashagha or another ally of Turkey.

Al-Sharif concluded, saying: “Al-Sarraj’s intention to resign is a political maneuver with Turkish knowledge to ensure that what was agreed upon with the Libyan side remains in effect, especially as it realizes that any national authority in Libya will break all previous ties with Accord.”




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