In the past few days, northern and eastern Syria witnessed a mutual escalation between the Iranian forces supporting the Damascus government in the countryside of Deir ez-Zor and Hasakah on the one hand, and the US forces operating under the cover of the global coalition against ISIS on the other hand. This would be an expressive picture of the expected course of future events.
Despite linking the mutual attacks between Iranian and American forces in eastern Syria to the escalation and the recent American and Israeli threats to launch a strike on Iran, this does not seem logical. On the contrary, Iran felt relieved after a visit by a delegation from the International Atomic Energy Agency and its talk about positive results of consultations with Iranian officials, in addition to Iranian satisfaction with the resumption of relations with many Arab countries, most notably Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
These mutual attacks in eastern Syria are largely linked to the results of the consultations of Russia, Turkey, Iran and the Damascus government, within the framework of the Russian endeavor; To move the stagnant waters in Syria and change the equation in its favor on the one hand, and put pressure on America on the other hand, amid the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine, through the gateway of rapprochement between Turkey and the Damascus government.
Despite the talk of the Damascus government and its media about postponing some consultations between these parties; It is because of the conditions it presented that include Turkey's withdrawal from all Syrian lands, but this may not be realistic enough, as there may be demands from Damascus and Russia for Turkey to hand over a number of areas, especially international roads, but what happened through the deals that took place over the years the Syrian crisis, particularly since the launch of the Astana process and the handing over of many regions by Russia and Damascus to Turkey, does not indicate that they are greatly interested in liberating all Syrian regions.
However, the real obstacles that slow down the course of this convergence will not end it; It is negotiation and bartering on how to implement the scheme of this rapprochement and what are its results?
In this context, these parties are completely in agreement on goals, but they differ on priorities. The main priority is Russia, Iran and the Damascus government. It is the pressure on the American forces in northern and eastern Syria. As for Turkey, the priority is; It is the elimination of the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria, the end of any Kurdish presence in the region, and the expansion of its occupation in these areas.
It seems that the choice fell on Iran and groups affiliated with the Damascus government to put pressure on the American forces in the east of the country, since Iran has large forces in the countryside of Deir ez-Zor and the security squares in Hasakah and Qamishlo, in addition to that it has worked during the last period to strengthen its communication with some notables of the clans.
This expected scenario is shown by the recent attacks on US bases in the countryside of Hasakah and Deir ez-Zor, and the official Iranian statement, which is considered the first of its kind. In a statement, the Iranian Consultative Center warned the Americans against targeting its centers and forces, saying: "We have the upper hand and the ability to respond in the event that our centers and forces are targeted on Syrian soil."
Achieving this remains based on the nature of the American response to these pressures, in addition to the possibility of Turkey moving further away from the American position, and this is what Russia is seeking, in addition to the path of implementing other understandings between Russia and Turkey, but despite that, the confrontations between the American and Iranian forces appear to be A test of the applicability of this scenario and a tool to test the American pulse.
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ANHA
